Overview
The goldilocks package implements the Goldilocks
adaptive trial design described in Broglio et al. (2014). This vignette
provides a visual overview of how the package functions are
interconnected.
Function dependency diagram
The diagram below shows the call graph from the top-level simulation
function (sim_trials()) down through the core engine
(survival_adapt()) and into the internal analysis
pipeline.
Exported functions are shown in blue. Internal functions are shown in grey.
Function roles
The functions fall into three layers:
Simulation layer
-
sim_trials(): Top-level entry point. Runssurvival_adapt()across multiple trials (optionally in parallel) and collates results. -
summarise_sims(): Summarizes the output ofsim_trials(), computing operating characteristics such as power, expected sample size, and stopping probabilities.
Trial engine
-
survival_adapt(): Simulates a single adaptive trial. Generates data viasim_comp_data(), conducts interim analyses usingposterior()andtest_stop_success(), and performs the final analysis viatest_final().
Data generation and analysis utilities
-
sim_comp_data(): Generates a complete trial dataset by callingenrollment(),randomization(), andpwe_sim(). -
posterior(): Estimates the posterior distribution of piecewise exponential hazard rates using a conjugate Gamma model. -
analyse_data(): Applies the chosen analysis method (logrank,cox,bayes, orchisq) to an (imputed) dataset. -
impute_data(): Imputes missing event times for censored subjects usingpwe_impute()orpwe_sim(). -
haz_to_prop(): Converts posterior hazard rate draws to cumulative incidence proportions viappwe().